Monday, June 14, 2021

Fantasy football: Can’t fade quarterbacks in one-game DFS contests

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One last gasp at fantasy football glory before this turbulent season settles quietly into the history books. One last stab at some winnings. The final window of football action for a long, dreary seven months.

Unlike normal daily fantasy sports formats in which multiple games create a large player pool to fill out a full fantasy roster, a one-game slate requires a different roster altogether. No more positions to fill, no more cheap punt position options like defense/special teams or, at times, tight end.

Instead, every position is a Flex spot, with one getting a proportional points bonus as the “MVP” or “Captain.” For example, at FanDuel, they call this primary roster position the MVP, and that player accumulates 1.5 times they recorded fantasy points for the game.

But with such a short slate, it also means finding cheap value picks is enormously difficult, if not impossible, because either scores of other are going to flock to the same affordable options or you are going to be throwing darts at deep bench players who might not even touch the ball. Tom Brady and Patrick MahomesEPA; Getty Images

It also means you can’t afford to miss on big stars who have big games, since the user rates for those players will be high enough that such a performance by just one player can push you below the pay line if you don’t use them.

To that end, we can’t justify fading either Patrick Mahomes or Tom Brady in Super Bowl LV contests, as much as we might be tempted. Neither team has a particularly strong ground game, both have significant passing weapons, and enough of those weapons that identifying individuals for big games can be tricky.

That doesn’t mean you have to use them as the MVP/Captain player, but you don’t want to leave them off your lineup.

Particularly in this Super matchup.

Super studs and duds

Travis Kelce TE, Chiefs, vs. Buccaneers (FanDuel $14,500/DraftKings $16,500)

Rest assured Tampa Bay hasn’t forgotten about the torching Tyreek Hill delivered in Week 12. Thus, we expect ample attention on Hill from the defense, leaving Kelce with more opportunities.

Ronald Jones II RB, Buccaneers, vs. Chiefs (FD $8,000/DK $3,300)

Leonard Fournette is getting more touches in the playoffs, but most of the difference is in the passing game. We’ll take the massive discount for Jones, who will be less owned as well.

Antonio BrownAP

Darrel Williams RB, Chiefs, vs. Buccaneers (FD $9,000/DK $7,800)

Kansas City doesn’t have a single dependable fantasy option in the backfield, but the price for Williams meets his potential upside.

Antonio Brown WR, Buccaneers, vs.

If he plays, we like him as much as any Bucs WR, and he is the cheapest of their stars by $2,000.

Scotty Miller WR, Buccaneers, vs. Chiefs (FD $6,500/DK $5,100)

If looking for a cheaper option, Miller just needs to cash in one big TD to pay off at an affordable price point.

Insanity’s Daily dose

Daily fantasy league lineup suggestion by Drew Loftis:

Team FanDuel

Type: Tourney

Salary: $60K

Fee: $22

Entries: 8,288

Top Prize: $30K

Tot. pot: $155K

POS.: Player=Price

MVP: Travis Kelce=$14,500

Flex: Patrick Mahomes=$16,500

Flex: Tom Brady=$15,000

Flex: Rob Gronkowski=$6,500

Flex: Mecole Hardman=$7,500

For late roster changes, follow @NYPost_Loftis on Twitter.

Season risked: $141.88

Season winnings: $120

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