Social distancing may need to be enforced until the end of the year, scientists have warned the Government.
Restrictions can only be relaxed once the coronavirus vaccines are at least 85% effective, figures handed to Downing Street suggest.
A ‘high uptake’ of the jab is vital to avoid another deadly wave of the disease, but experts believe the vaccines will not be ‘100% effective’ at eliminating the virus.
In a ‘best-case scenario’, when 85% of transmissions are halted, Brits could be under lockdown until May, according to the Sunday Telegraph.
But many scientists are said to believe transmissions will be reduced by around 60%.
If the current lockdown measures were eased in mid-February, the nation could be hit by another spike in infections by April, according to the data from the University of Warwick.
The paper was commissioned by the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling (SPI-M), a sub-group of the government’s SAGE advisory committee.